Univ. Concepción vs Unión San Felipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
21.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
LOT
84%
12%
4%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 0
UCO
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
0 - 1
IQU
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
4 - 3
IBE
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
NUB
2 - 1
UCO
19%
20%
61%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 3
USF
22%
25%
53%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
USF
1 - 1
OHI
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
USF
3 - 0
DLS
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
PAL
4 - 2
USF
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
UCH
2 - 0
USF
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |