Univ. Concepción vs Unión San Felipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
PAL
1 - 1
UCO
40%
27%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2009 |
COL
4 - 3
UCO
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
UCO
1 - 2
COL
38%
24%
38%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
USF
2 - 0
UCO
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
UCO
4 - 1
UCO
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
USF
3 - 2
COL
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
USF
3 - 0
IQU
56%
23%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
USF
2 - 0
UCO
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
CON
1 - 2
USF
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
USF
5 - 1
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |