Univ. Concepción vs Unión San Felipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2000 |
DEP
0 - 1
UCO
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2000 |
UCO
1 - 2
DLI
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2000 |
DLS
2 - 1
UCO
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2000 |
UCO
1 - 3
CSD
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2000 |
OVA
1 - 0
UCO
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2000 |
USF
3 - 1
CSL
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2000 |
USF
1 - 1
DEP
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2000 |
DLI
5 - 1
USF
35%
26%
38%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2000 |
USF
1 - 1
DLS
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2000 |
CSD
2 - 0
USF
48%
25%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |