Univ. Concepción vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
39.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2020 |
ACS
1 - 1
UCO
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
UCO
2 - 2
CSL
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
COL
2 - 2
UCO
64%
21%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
ANT
1 - 1
UCO
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
UCO
1 - 2
CUR
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
UCO
0 - 1
UNI
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
UNI
4 - 4
HUA
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
UNI
2 - 0
EVE
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
OHI
1 - 3
UNI
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 2
ACS
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |