Univ. Concepción vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
UCO
1 - 0
DEP
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
HUA
0 - 0
UCO
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
COL
3 - 0
UCO
56%
23%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
UCO
4 - 0
CSL
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
UCO
0 - 0
UCH
30%
25%
45%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +5 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 1
EVE
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
IQU
2 - 2
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 2
PAL
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 0
SWA
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ANT
1 - 1
UNI
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |