Univ. Concepción vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 1
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CSL
1 - 0
UCO
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 4
UCO
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2016 |
PAL
3 - 0
UCO
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 1
ANT
55%
25%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 1
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
UCO
4 - 2
UNI
55%
22%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 2
ANT
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
HUA
3 - 3
UNI
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
PAL
52%
23%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |