Copa Chile Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Univ. Concepción vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 1
OHI
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
HUA
1 - 2
UCO
41%
27%
33%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
UCO
3 - 1
IQU
45%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
UCO
2 - 2
UCO
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 2
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
UCO
0 - 0
UNI
47%
25%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 2
ACS
47%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SWA
2 - 3
UNI
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |