Univ. Concepción vs Unión La Calera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
UCH
2 - 0
UCO
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2015 |
SWA
1 - 2
UCO
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
UCO
0 - 1
UCH
41%
24%
35%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 1
IQU
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
ACS
2 - 1
UCO
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Unión La Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ULC
0 - 2
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 1
ULC
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ULC
0 - 2
CSL
42%
26%
33%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
UNI
4 - 0
ULC
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ULC
2 - 0
ANT
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |