Univ. Concepción vs Unión La Calera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
UCO
2 - 2
NUB
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
EVE
2 - 3
UCO
39%
27%
35%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
UCO
2 - 0
PAL
39%
28%
34%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCO
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
COB
2 - 0
UCO
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Unión La Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ULC
1 - 1
ACS
29%
25%
46%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
IQU
2 - 1
ULC
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
CSD
2 - 2
ULC
47%
27%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
ULC
2 - 1
NUB
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
ULC
1 - 1
CSL
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |