Univ. Concepción vs Santiago Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
IQU
3 - 1
UCO
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 0
ACS
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
UCH
1 - 3
UCO
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +7 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 2
UCO
27%
27%
45%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -7 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
UCO
3 - 1
UNI
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Santiago Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
SWA
2 - 2
ACS
44%
25%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SWA
5 - 4
UCH
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
IQU
1 - 2
SWA
39%
26%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +3 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SWA
3 - 1
CSL
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -3 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
ULC
3 - 3
SWA
36%
27%
38%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |