Univ. Concepción vs Santiago Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
NUB
2 - 1
UCO
38%
26%
37%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2011 |
UCO
5 - 4
UCO
55%
23%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 1
UCO
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
CSL
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
OHI
3 - 0
UCO
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Santiago Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SWA
0 - 2
DLS
37%
27%
37%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
USF
0 - 2
SWA
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
SWA
1 - 1
UCH
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CSL
3 - 2
SWA
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SWA
2 - 2
IQU
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |