Univ. Concepción vs Santiago Morning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
7º
16º
11º
40
4º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
80% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 44% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 56% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
CUR
2 - 3
UCO
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
UCO
4 - 1
DSC
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
UCO
0 - 1
DLS
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
DER
5 - 0
UCO
41%
27%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
UCO
2 - 0
LIM
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
CSD
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ANT
0 - 0
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
DEP
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
MAG
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |