Univ. Concepción vs Santiago Morning analysis

Univ. Concepción Santiago Morning
61 ELO 61
-3.5% Tilt -1.6%
2174º General ELO ranking 2559º
27º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
48.6%
Univ. Concepción
26.3%
Draw
25.1%
Santiago Morning

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
Univ. Concepción
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.1%
Win probability
Santiago Morning
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Univ. Concepción
+2%
-2%
Santiago Morning

Points and table prediction

Univ. Concepción
Their league position
Santiago Morning
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
16º
11º
40
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
La Serena
70
70
100%
Magallanes
52
52
100%
Barnechea
16º
5
50
0%
Rangers Talca
50
50
0%
Antofagasta
43
43
100%
Santiago Wanderers
38
41
56%
Deportes Limache
40
40
0%
Recoleta
40
40
56%
Santiago Morning
40
40
56%
Deportes Santa Cruz
40
40
10º
0%
Univ. Concepción
10º
37
37
11º
80%
San Marcos Arica
11º
35
35
12º
100%
Curicó Unido
15º
25
34
13º
100%
Deportes Temuco
12º
33
33
14º
100%
San Luis de Quillota
13º
28
28
15º
100%
Unión San Felipe
14º
26
26
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Univ. Concepción
Santiago Morning
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 44%
Mid-table
100% 56%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Univ. Concepción
Santiago Morning
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Univ. Concepción
Univ. Concepción
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2024
CUR
Curicó Unido
2 - 3
Univ. Concepción
UCO
50%
26%
25%
61 64 3 0
24 Aug. 2024
UCO
Univ. Concepción
4 - 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
DSC
37%
27%
36%
60 63 3 +1
20 Aug. 2024
UCO
Univ. Concepción
0 - 1
La Serena
DLS
25%
26%
49%
60 70 10 0
12 Aug. 2024
DER
Recoleta
5 - 0
Univ. Concepción
UCO
41%
27%
33%
61 58 3 -1
06 Aug. 2024
UCO
Univ. Concepción
2 - 0
Deportes Limache
LIM
34%
27%
39%
60 65 5 +1

Matches

Santiago Morning
Santiago Morning
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2024
SAN
Santiago Morning
0 - 1
Rangers Talca
CSD
42%
27%
31%
61 62 1 0
25 Aug. 2024
ANT
Antofagasta
0 - 0
Santiago Morning
SAN
53%
25%
22%
61 65 4 0
18 Aug. 2024
SAN
Santiago Morning
2 - 1
Deportes Temuco
DEP
42%
28%
30%
60 62 2 +1
11 Aug. 2024
BAR
Barnechea
2 - 0
Santiago Morning
SAN
59%
23%
18%
60 66 6 0
04 Aug. 2024
SAN
Santiago Morning
0 - 2
Magallanes
MAG
20%
25%
55%
61 74 13 -1