Univ. Concepción vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
16º
13º
40
9º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SWA
1 - 1
UCO
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 0
UCO
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
UCO
1 - 2
DEP
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
UCO
2 - 0
DLS
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
IQU
1 - 3
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
DEP
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DLS
1 - 1
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
CSD
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 3
SAN
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 2
DER
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |