Univ. Concepción vs San Luis de Quillota analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
OHI
4 - 2
UCO
35%
28%
38%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
UCO
1 - 0
UNI
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
UCO
1 - 0
UCO
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
UCO
3 - 0
IQU
47%
26%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ANT
1 - 0
UCO
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
San Luis de Quillota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
UCH
20%
24%
56%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ULC
0 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
IQU
2 - 2
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
ANT
24%
27%
50%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 4
HUA
28%
27%
45%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |