Univ. Concepción vs San Luis de Quillota analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
COB
1 - 1
UCO
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
UCO
2 - 1
EVE
45%
26%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
OHI
1 - 2
UCO
53%
24%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
UCO
0 - 1
USF
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
PAL
1 - 1
UCO
40%
27%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
San Luis de Quillota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 2
EVE
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
UCO
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
DLS
1 - 3
SAN
71%
17%
11%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 2
OHI
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
HUA
2 - 1
SAN
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |