Univ. Concepción vs Quesos Kumey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.2%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
12.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
17.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.8%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
17.3%
8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
8%
1.8%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
DEP
0 - 0
UCO
16%
21%
63%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
HUA
3 - 1
UCO
54%
22%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
QUK
1 - 4
UCO
7%
13%
80%
|
71 | 24 | 47 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 1
HUA
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
UCO
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Quesos Kumey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
QUK
1 - 2
UNI
14%
20%
66%
|
24 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
PUE
3 - 1
QUK
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
QUK
1 - 4
UCO
7%
13%
80%
|
24 | 71 | 47 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
UNI
5 - 1
QUK
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2011 |
QUK
0 - 1
PUE
17%
23%
61%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |