Univ. Concepción vs Puerto Montt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
8.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
IBE
1 - 2
UCO
20%
24%
57%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 2
UCO
17%
23%
60%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 0
UCO
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ANT
0 - 1
UCO
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 2
ACS
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
PUE
2 - 1
DEP
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
IBE
3 - 0
PUE
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
PUE
4 - 0
SAU
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
MEJ
0 - 2
PUE
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PUE
2 - 2
OVA
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |