Univ. Concepción vs Puerto Montt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
UCO
5 - 2
UCO
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
UCO
3 - 3
DEP
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
CSL
1 - 0
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
UCO
1 - 2
CDM
70%
20%
11%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
UCO
0 - 0
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
PUE
1 - 2
CSD
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
UNI
4 - 1
PUE
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
PUE
3 - 0
DLS
44%
24%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
HUA
1 - 4
PUE
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
PUE
3 - 1
SWA
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |