Univ. Concepción vs Puerto Montt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2002 |
UCO
2 - 2
OVA
65%
21%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2002 |
UCO
0 - 0
EVE
53%
23%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2002 |
CDM
1 - 1
UCO
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2002 |
UCO
2 - 2
NTA
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2002 |
ULC
1 - 1
UCO
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2002 |
PUE
2 - 0
EVE
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2002 |
PUE
2 - 1
CDM
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2002 |
NTA
0 - 0
PUE
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2002 |
PUE
2 - 1
ULC
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2002 |
DLS
1 - 0
PUE
43%
25%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |