Univ. Concepción vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
40.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
UCH
2 - 0
UCO
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
UCO
0 - 0
EVE
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
UCO
0 - 2
DLS
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
IQU
4 - 0
UCO
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
UCO
3 - 1
ACS
40%
27%
34%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
PAL
4 - 2
CUR
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
IQU
0 - 2
PAL
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 0
ACS
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
PAL
3 - 1
SWA
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
PAL
3 - 1
ULC
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |