Univ. Concepción vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
40.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
IQU
2 - 2
UCO
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
UCO
1 - 1
HUA
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CUR
4 - 2
UCO
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
UCO
0 - 3
UCO
23%
25%
52%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
COQ
2 - 2
UCO
34%
28%
39%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
PAL
2 - 2
COL
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
ACS
2 - 3
PAL
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 1
ULC
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
HUA
0 - 2
PAL
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 1
UCH
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |