Univ. Concepción vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
OHI
1 - 2
UCO
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
UCO
0 - 2
COL
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
ULC
1 - 2
UCO
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
UCO
1 - 0
SWA
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
IQU
3 - 1
UCO
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 0
COQ
77%
16%
8%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
COQ
0 - 6
PAL
17%
21%
63%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 3
PAL
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 1
HUA
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
COL
1 - 3
PAL
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |