Univ. Concepción vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
EVE
2 - 1
UCO
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
UCO
2 - 2
OHI
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
UCO
1 - 0
HUA
38%
27%
34%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
IQU
0 - 4
UCO
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
UCO
0 - 1
CUR
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
PAL
0 - 1
HUA
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2017 |
UCH
2 - 1
PAL
64%
20%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
PAL
4 - 0
UNI
32%
27%
40%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 2
DEP
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
OHI
2 - 1
PAL
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |