Univ. Concepción vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 1
UCO
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 2
IBE
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 1
DEP
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 0
HUA
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
PUE
1 - 2
UCO
24%
25%
52%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 1
UNI
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 2
SAN
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
USF
1 - 0
PAL
27%
25%
48%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2015 |
ACS
1 - 1
PAL
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
UNI
4 - 2
PAL
57%
23%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |