Apertura Finals Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Univ. Concepción vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 1
UCO
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
UCO
3 - 1
OHI
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
COL
1 - 0
UCO
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 2
ULC
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
UCH
2 - 0
UCO
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 1
UCO
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAN
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
HUA
0 - 0
PAL
48%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 0
COL
38%
25%
36%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
ANT
0 - 2
PAL
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |