Univ. Concepción vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CSL
2 - 1
UCO
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 2
NUB
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
COL
3 - 0
UCO
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
SWA
0 - 0
UCO
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 2
UCH
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 1
HUA
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 3
UCH
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 1
MWA
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
MWA
1 - 0
PAL
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 3
OHI
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |