Univ. Concepción vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
UCO
0 - 0
BOL
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
EVE
2 - 1
UCO
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
UCO
1 - 1
USF
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
PUE
0 - 0
UCO
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
SWA
0 - 1
UCO
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
PAL
1 - 1
COB
38%
26%
37%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
ACS
0 - 0
PAL
49%
23%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
PAL
1 - 0
CSL
66%
19%
14%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
UCH
4 - 1
PAL
60%
22%
19%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
PAL
5 - 1
DLS
63%
20%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |