Univ. Concepción vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
49.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
UCO
0 - 0
UCO
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
UCO
3 - 1
UNI
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
ACS
2 - 1
UCO
72%
17%
10%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
UCO
1 - 2
CSL
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
COL
1 - 1
UCO
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
USF
0 - 1
PAL
36%
26%
39%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
PAL
2 - 2
UCO
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
UNI
1 - 2
PAL
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
ACS
5 - 1
PAL
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
CSL
1 - 0
PAL
29%
26%
46%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |