Univ. Concepción vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
60%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
UCO
1 - 0
IQU
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2019 |
CSL
1 - 0
UCO
25%
26%
48%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
SPC
2 - 0
UCO
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
UCO
1 - 0
ACS
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
UCO
0 - 0
GOD
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
CCP
1 - 3
OLI
35%
25%
40%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 0
LQE
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
OLI
4 - 0
AME
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 1
GOD
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
SPC
0 - 3
OLI
28%
25%
48%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |