Univ. Concepción vs O'Higgins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
OVA
1 - 2
UCO
30%
24%
46%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
COL
2 - 0
UCO
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
UCO
2 - 1
UNI
51%
24%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
UCO
0 - 0
EVE
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
COB
0 - 3
UCO
61%
21%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
OHI
1 - 0
CSD
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
PAL
1 - 2
OHI
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CSL
1 - 1
OHI
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
PAL
2 - 1
OHI
44%
25%
32%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
OHI
2 - 2
PAL
61%
21%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |