Univ. Concepción vs O'Higgins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
COL
3 - 0
UCO
69%
17%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2007 |
UCO
0 - 1
COL
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
ACS
1 - 3
UCO
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 3
ACS
38%
25%
38%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 0
UCO
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
COL
1 - 1
OHI
73%
16%
11%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
OHI
0 - 5
COL
39%
25%
37%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
PUE
3 - 0
OHI
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2007 |
UCH
2 - 2
OHI
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
HUA
0 - 0
OHI
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |