Univ. Concepción vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
57%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
UCO
2 - 2
BAR
28%
26%
46%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
UCO
2 - 1
CSD
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 0
UCO
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
USF
1 - 0
UCO
27%
27%
46%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
UCO
1 - 2
SAN
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
NUB
3 - 2
CUR
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
NUB
1 - 2
CSD
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
UCH
1 - 0
NUB
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
MAG
1 - 1
NUB
49%
25%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
NUB
2 - 1
MAG
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |