Univ. Concepción vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
COL
3 - 0
UCO
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
SWA
0 - 0
UCO
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 2
UCH
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ULC
2 - 0
UCO
44%
27%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 2
UNI
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
NUB
0 - 1
ANT
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
NUB
0 - 1
COL
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 3
NUB
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
NUB
1 - 0
ACS
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
OHI
1 - 0
NUB
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |