Univ. Concepción vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
EVE
2 - 3
UCO
39%
27%
35%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
UCO
2 - 0
PAL
39%
28%
34%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCO
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
COB
2 - 0
UCO
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
NTA
1 - 1
UCO
10%
17%
72%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
NUB
0 - 2
UNI
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
NUB
2 - 2
UCH
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
ULC
2 - 1
NUB
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
NUB
1 - 1
COB
26%
27%
47%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2013 |
UCO
3 - 0
NUB
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |