Univ. Concepción vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 1
UNI
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 1
UCO
7%
14%
79%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 0
UCO
54%
22%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 0
UNI
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 0
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
CON
0 - 2
NUB
19%
21%
61%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
5 - 2
NUB
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
NUB
3 - 5
EVE
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 3
NUB
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
NUB
1 - 1
LOT
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |