Univ. Concepción vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CSL
4 - 3
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 1
OHI
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PAL
3 - 2
UCO
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
UCO
1 - 0
ACS
28%
25%
48%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ULC
2 - 0
UCO
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NUB
1 - 1
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CSL
1 - 2
NUB
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
NUB
1 - 0
USF
40%
27%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 0
NUB
66%
20%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
NUB
2 - 3
DLS
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |