Univ. Concepción vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
CSL
2 - 2
UCO
57%
22%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 0
LOT
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
PAL
0 - 1
UCO
40%
26%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 0
PUE
64%
21%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
COL
2 - 2
UCO
71%
17%
12%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
NUB
2 - 3
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
COL
3 - 1
NUB
71%
17%
12%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
NUB
1 - 1
EVE
51%
25%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
UCO
3 - 0
NUB
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
PAL
1 - 1
NUB
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |