Univ. Concepción vs CDS Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
HUA
1 - 1
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
UCO
1 - 1
HUA
32%
24%
44%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
LOT
0 - 1
UCO
14%
20%
67%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 3
UCH
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
UCH
3 - 0
UCO
60%
21%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CDS Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
LOT
2 - 2
NTA
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
NTA
1 - 1
LOT
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
HUA
1 - 0
NTA
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
NTA
3 - 1
EVE
31%
26%
43%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
NTA
1 - 3
CON
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |