Univ. Concepción vs CDS Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
0 - 1
UCO
50%
26%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
OHI
1 - 3
UCO
80%
13%
6%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2002 |
UCO
1 - 0
PUE
27%
25%
49%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
CDM
1 - 0
UCO
41%
28%
32%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
UCO
3 - 0
LOT
38%
26%
37%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
CDS Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
NTA
4 - 0
CDP
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
NTA
0 - 2
LOT
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
NTA
5 - 0
OHI
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
0 - 2
NTA
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
NTA
1 - 1
PUE
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |