Univ. Concepción vs Magallanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
42.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FVC
2 - 3
UCO
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
UCO
3 - 0
DCO
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
PUE
1 - 4
UCO
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
UCO
0 - 2
MAG
26%
27%
47%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
DER
0 - 0
UCO
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
MAG
0 - 1
SWA
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
COB
1 - 0
MAG
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
MAG
1 - 0
IQU
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
UCO
0 - 2
MAG
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
MAG
0 - 0
DSC
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |