Univ. Concepción vs Magallanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
47.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
DER
0 - 0
UCO
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
COB
1 - 0
UCO
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
UCO
1 - 1
CDM
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
DLS
1 - 2
UCO
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
UCO
4 - 3
DLS
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
MAG
0 - 0
DSC
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
MAG
3 - 0
SAN
68%
21%
12%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
PUE
1 - 0
MAG
21%
27%
52%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
EVE
1 - 2
MAG
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
MAG
1 - 1
EVE
34%
26%
39%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |