Copa Chile Last 16
Global 4-2
Univ. Concepción vs Lota Schwager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
5.7%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
LOT
0 - 0
UCO
10%
21%
69%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
UCO
0 - 1
COL
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
UCO
1 - 3
SWA
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
UCO
3 - 0
COL
34%
24%
43%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
UCH
1 - 0
UCO
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
EVE
3 - 2
LOT
70%
20%
10%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
LOT
0 - 0
UCO
10%
21%
69%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
LOT
0 - 1
DLS
32%
27%
42%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
USF
4 - 1
LOT
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LOT
3 - 4
CON
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |