Univ. Concepción vs Huachipato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
ACS
4 - 1
UCO
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
UCO
3 - 2
PAL
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
UCO
1 - 2
PUE
76%
17%
7%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
PUE
1 - 0
UCO
12%
20%
68%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 3
UCO
33%
28%
40%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Huachipato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
HUA
1 - 1
UNI
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
UCH
2 - 2
HUA
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
HUA
1 - 2
ACS
41%
25%
35%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2018 |
ACS
2 - 1
HUA
48%
24%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2018 |
HUA
1 - 1
DCO
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |