Univ. Concepción vs Huachipato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SWA
2 - 0
UCO
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
UCO
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 0
UCO
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
UCO
0 - 2
COL
40%
26%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
UCO
35%
25%
41%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Huachipato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2016 |
HUA
2 - 2
EVE
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ANT
3 - 0
HUA
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
HUA
1 - 2
IQU
47%
24%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 1
HUA
54%
23%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
COL
3 - 1
HUA
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |