Copa Chile Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Univ. Concepción vs Huachipato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
HUA
0 - 1
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 0
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 2
UCH
42%
23%
35%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 4
UCO
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 1
UCO
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Huachipato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
HUA
0 - 1
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
HUA
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
HUA
0 - 1
UCO
47%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
HUA
1 - 0
ANT
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
HUA
5 - 3
PUE
73%
17%
9%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |