Univ. Concepción vs Huachipato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
UCO
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 1
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
USF
1 - 3
UCO
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
UCO
1 - 2
UCO
29%
26%
45%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SWA
2 - 1
UCO
46%
26%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Huachipato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
HUA
2 - 1
OHI
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 0
HUA
43%
27%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
HUA
1 - 3
UCH
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ULC
0 - 0
HUA
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
HUA
1 - 1
COB
56%
24%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |