Univ. Concepción vs Huachipato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
UCO
0 - 2
UCO
39%
26%
34%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
NUB
2 - 3
UCO
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 1
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCH
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CUR
0 - 1
UCO
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Huachipato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
UCH
1 - 3
HUA
54%
23%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
HUA
4 - 1
PAL
59%
22%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
HUA
3 - 1
NUB
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
COL
2 - 2
HUA
59%
22%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
HUA
3 - 1
IQU
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |