Univ. Concepción vs Huachipato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
COL
1 - 0
UCO
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 3
EVE
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
ANT
3 - 3
UCO
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
UCO
0 - 0
OHI
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
COL
3 - 0
UCO
69%
17%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Huachipato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
HUA
3 - 1
ANT
64%
22%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 2
HUA
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
HUA
0 - 2
CDP
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
COB
0 - 0
HUA
54%
23%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
HUA
2 - 3
CDM
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -2 |