Univ. Concepción vs Huachipato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
DLS
1 - 1
UCO
49%
25%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
UCO
2 - 2
ANT
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
EVE
1 - 2
UCO
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
UCO
1 - 0
COB
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
UCO
2 - 1
CSL
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Huachipato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
HUA
1 - 0
PAL
72%
17%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2006 |
CSL
1 - 2
HUA
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
HUA
3 - 2
PUE
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
SWA
1 - 0
HUA
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
HUA
2 - 0
UCH
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |