Univ. Concepción vs Huachipato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2004 |
COB
2 - 3
UCO
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2004 |
UCO
1 - 3
ACS
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
CSL
3 - 2
UCO
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2004 |
BOL
4 - 2
UCO
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
DLS
0 - 1
UCO
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Huachipato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2004 |
HUA
3 - 1
PUE
60%
21%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2004 |
COB
2 - 0
HUA
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
HUA
0 - 1
UNI
48%
23%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2004 |
ACS
3 - 0
HUA
39%
25%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
HUA
4 - 0
CSD
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |